Juba’s unrealistic Dream for a Military Solution: Greatest Impediment to Peaceful Solution to South Sudan Crisis.
By: Gatgong Koang Thany,
May 4, 2015 (Nyamilepedia)—South Sudanese are waiting with tightly-held breath in heart-breaking anticipation of an eventual implementation of the United Nation Security Council’s (UNSC) Resolution on South Sudan which proposed for punitive measures against party (S) blocking peaceful processes to the young Nation is Man-Made Crisis, the Sanctions which would includes but not limited to; Asset Freezes for either individual (S) or entities, Travel-banns, arms embargo among other measures, once put to work with genuine and serious intent, the Resolution would be a great factor in driving the warring parties toward a negotiating table despite its limitations.
As we watch and wait to see whether the UNSC’s threats would give birth to reality or diffuse in to the thin air like similar adoptions before it, Juba regime is making good its devilish intentions, to see this nation ruined and its people forcefully and brutally subjugated to imminent extinction, on the ground, since the inglorious Collapse of the last peace session in Addis Ababa, as a result of the Government’s inflexible stance on solid position which eventually thwarted and suffocated any meaningful efforts to bridge the gaps between the Warring parties, Salvatore Kiir’s Forces under direct instructions from the State House in Juba Launched a shocking, multi-National-Forces attack on Wedakona, the Head-Quarter of Manyo County, which had been under the rebel throughout the conflict, even before their last Delegates could leave the peace venue, and have continued their offensives against the S.P.L.A/IO’s positions throughout the greater Uppernile region ever since.
Despite its internal fragility, inevitable economic collapse, continuous Military revolts, none-stop in-fighting for instant the Malakal military confrontations between Johnson Olony’s Forces on one hand and Government allied Dinka Afandang and Government’s Forces on the other, general demoralization among its forces and nation-wide lost of confident on its entire structures. The regime in Juba, in its typical and trademark fashion, continues to defy realities opting instead to persistently pursue an ‘illusionary’, unrealistic and impossible dream of battle-field-solution to the Conflict.
In recent weeks, following the President’s shuttled military aids mission that saw him visit among other places Turkey, coupled with the risk-less, risky and random borrowing that has so far seem to be the only mean of survival for Juba, the regime once again like many times in the past felt it have the muscles to strike-out the rebellion, a sudden boldness that seem to expose its own ignorant of the rebellion itself and its own capabilities ; armed with newly acquired weaponry and perhaps few more pounds to pour in to their users’ pockets, the government is once again in an offensive, as we all know, the so called cessation of Hostilities never even existed in the Juba’s Dictionary especially whenever it feel it has got the upper-sides of things, so from Northern Renk to Unity , Kiir’s Forces, its allied Militias and Mercenaries are on an all-out-offensive implementing the ‘’ crashing the rebellion’’ agenda , an impossible dream.
The multi-fronts Military Operation in Unity State is made possible by the involvement of village youth from the Government Controlled Counties and Warrap State who are lured in to mass-participation by promises of various loots including girls/women, cattle among other things they could find in the rebel controlled areas. These latest tactics, introduction of raiding in to the already dangerous war set yet another vicious and tragic trend; it also exposes the government desperation to win the War Militarily at all cost. Therefore in all fronts, the government is in full scaled war status and is committed only to one thing, continuation of fighting, killing and destabilization.
In conclusion, it seem with each new artillery and loans acquisition, the government’s hopes for a military solution to this ravaging war are heightened, and each time the fighting intensified while peace prospects are vanish under carpets only to be retrieved and revived once and only when the government smell defeats at its doors step, some unseen forces are likely playing major part in this dirty and dangerous cat and mouse-game, especially the devilish forces that are backing the monstrous Juba Regime, however what this devil monsters and the World at large fail to understand is this simple fact ;
As the Government continued to seek means to maneuver its way out of this crisis, there is an innocent girls/woman at real-risk of being either killed, rapped or raided, an innocent child to die of hunger or hunger-related diseases, an elderly, waiting to be slaughtered and yet more and more young Men waiting on death-rows, more displacements, more destruction of lives and properties and more instabilities, as the Government and its allied continue to fuel and fan the war, ordinary man and woman within or without this Country continue to suffer untold misery and would love to see nothing more but peace, a good peace now, so that they would have an opportunity to restart their destroyed lives, go back to their destroyed homes and reconstruct their shattered dreams and houses.
It may be hard to accept but the plain truth is that; historically and practically, Military solution are almost, always impossible to attain and where they are, they comes at a huge cost, furthermore the setting of the conflict in South Sudan today make it impossible for the government to secure a Battlefield solution, as a matter of fact the reverse is more likely, thus instead of banking on false hope of military Success, the Government in Juba should brace itself for eventual defeat should it refuse to utilize the negotiation avenues to bring beautiful ending to this horrible situation . With its constitutional mandate legally over, the genocidal regime in Juba should beg for immediate, negotiated peaceful ending to this brutal Conflict. Otherwise it’s high time the world stop watching and waiting as innocent citizens of South Sudan continue to die. It’s time for the World to end the War now. All it takes is getting rid of the menace in Juba.
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