By Tut Makuac Luotkoway
August 24, 2015(Nyamilepedia) — South Sudan Civil War will soon spill into neighboring Ethiopia if serious actions are not quickly taken by both Dr. Riek Machar Teny-Dhurgon and Ethiopian Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn.
On 6 August, 2015, Ethiopian rebel leader Thokwath Pal Chay and newly defected general from SPLA rebel’s movement Gat-hoth Gatkuoth Hothnyang convened a dangerous secret meeting with dangerous outcome in Nairobi, Kenya. These two groups formed “Alliance Defense Pact” that will benefit them. The meeting was attended by Hon. Changson Lew Chang, Salva Kiir’s spy agent Gatwec Puoc Mar and two representatives from Juba and SPLM-N. Another meeting will take place in Eritrea any time in September, 2015 as proposed by both generals.
They discussed four of the following agendas: Formation of coalition forces between Ethiopian rebels and newly fired SPLA generals, establishment of military bases in three separate territorial zones, recruitment and training of Nuer Youth, Anyuak Youth, and Oromo Youth in their respective areas, secret relationship with Juba government and SPLM-N must be maintained at all times
The formation of coalition forces in Eastern Jikany territory which will operate under the banner of “Alliance Defense Pact” would benefit both rebel forces of Ethiopia and South Sudan in either ways. The proposed formation of coalition forces, at the interest of Juba regime, was not only limited to Eastern Jikany, but also Bentiu and Greater Lou Nuer whereby General Gatdet and Malith Gatluak should be in charge of their imaginary forces.
General Thokwath and General Gat-hoth prioritized their main targets in order to carry out what they called “successful joint operations.” First, they planned to liberate Greater Maiwut including Pagak to create a living space for themselves. Second, Ethiopian rebels with the support of their allies in Juba and SPLM-N would be able to get prepared for Gambella operation before the end of 2015. In their minds, Gambella invasion will bring dissatisfied Ethiopian citizens, especially Oromo and Anyuak, to join their liberation across country.
In the meeting, there were representative from Juba by the name Deng and representative from SPLM-N by the name Khalis. These representatives were not familiar to many South Sudanese and made it harder for our informant to know their full names and positions they have in their respective governments. They were delegated because they could not be easily recognized by any suspicious agent. Fortunately, our source in the meeting was able to know who they were. These representatives were well known to General Thokwath very well because it was not their first time to have held a meeting with him. It was reported last year that Juba government gave Gen. Thokwath $1,000,000 US dollars, but it was denied by Juba officials as baseless claim.
Furthermore, Deng, representative from Juba, suggested that all Nuer soldiers who are currently servicing in Mabaan should be put under general Gat-hoth Gatkuoth command to ease Pagak operation. Similarly, Kalis commented on behave of SPLM-N that his leader Malik Agar will contribute soldiers for the capture of Greater Maiwut including Pagak as main target. On top of that, Deng came with more dollars bill in Nairobi for General Thokwath and General Gat-hoth. Our source did not know the exact amount although he estimated it as a quarter of millions dollars.
There is no doubt that Juba failed government is doing what it takes to make it stays in power by creating more rebellions in the region in which the war will not only be fought in South Sudan, but also in Ethiopia soil as well.
These two generals from different countries proposed three military bases. They proposed the main base to be in Eritrea which is already exist for Ethiopian rebels. Second base will be established in Blue Nile territory under control of SPLM-N. Third base will be in South Sudan territory which is Kithgile, Mabaan in Adar State (previously known as Upper Nile State).
General Thokwath, the ideological political mentor for both rebel movements, will provide skill training to field officers in both three bases. Ethiopian rebel soldiers are mainly from Anyuak and Oromo.
General Gat-hoth pledged to recruit all Nuer Youth in the villages into his new rebellion against mainstream of Nuer Community. This recruitment of Nuer Youth in the villages will be funded by Salva kiir regime through the channel of Gatwec Puoc Mar who was sent by Kiir to end up what they called “Nuer rebellion against Dinka government.” In this case, Nueri have never rebelled against Dinka government as they put it, but it was Salva Kiir who imposed war against Nuer by genociding their love ones indiscriminately in Juba.
On the other hand, Ethiopian rebel leader will continue targeting Oromo and Anyuak Youth recruitments. Juba government has already thrown its support to this movement in order to undermine Ethiopia stability and economic development to equate what it assumes Ethiopian government is supporting South Sudanese rebels. Every day and night, officials in Juba are silently accusing Ethiopia is supporting South Sudanese rebels.
Both General Thokwath and General Gat-hoth have documented to keep secret relationships in check with Juba government and the support they are getting from SPLM-N which gives them operation bases in Blue Nile territory. Juba regime is the main source of income of their movements.
This ongoing planning of conspiracies from Juba government to create more instabilities in the region as a whole are not yet getting attention of Intergovernmental Authority for Development (IGAD). East African countries must take serious action to stop Juba expired and failed government to spread violence of destruction into neighboring countries.
The author of this article, Tut Makuac Luotkoway, can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org